Bush’s chances of reelection, as measured by the gamers on Tradesports, have just fallen below 50 percent.
Update: Wow! Bush is falling through the floor now. Tradesports participants now rate his chances of reelection at 28.5%, based last sale of a Bush future contact at 6:15 pm. Maybe we won’t be up all night after all (though a quick wrap-up would be a little disappointing — I’ve been looking forward to the mandate-killing quality of another messy tie). Of course, several thousand lawyers ought to collectively be capable of keeping things a unclear for a few days, or they aren’t worth their billables. I’m going to try to work on Kant for a couple of hours, then head over to a friend’s election night shindig.
Posted by Marie Gryphon on November 2, 2004